Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.002104 0.002212 0.002325 0.002454 0.002597 0.002752 0.002934
2025-05-18 0.001954 0.002106 0.002274 0.002475 0.002714 0.002991 0.003343
2025-05-25 0.001827 0.002003 0.002204 0.002456 0.002769 0.003155 0.003683
2025-06-01 0.001718 0.001907 0.002130 0.002416 0.002787 0.003266 0.003966
2025-06-08 0.001671 0.001878 0.002128 0.002462 0.002911 0.003524 0.004490
2025-06-15 0.001623 0.001843 0.002114 0.002486 0.003005 0.003749 0.005015
2025-06-22 0.001559 0.001784 0.002064 0.002456 0.003018 0.003856 0.005370
2025-06-29 0.001499 0.001724 0.002009 0.002413 0.003007 0.003921 0.005664
2025-07-06 0.001452 0.001680 0.001971 0.002391 0.003022 0.004027 0.006061
2025-07-13 0.001380 0.001599 0.001880 0.002288 0.002905 0.003898 0.005950
2025-07-20 0.001347 0.001568 0.001855 0.002276 0.002927 0.004009 0.006380
2025-07-27 0.001329 0.001556 0.001854 0.002300 0.003006 0.004230 0.007140
2025-08-03 0.001299 0.001528 0.001832 0.002293 0.003038 0.004376 0.007808
2025-08-10 0.001286 0.001522 0.001839 0.002329 0.003146 0.004690 0.009141
2025-08-17 0.001259 0.001495 0.001816 0.002319 0.003172 0.004843 0.010105
2025-08-24 0.001226 0.001460 0.001781 0.002285 0.003155 0.004901 0.010781
2025-08-31 0.001218 0.001459 0.001792 0.002327 0.003277 0.005295 0.013326
2025-09-07 0.001204 0.001449 0.001791 0.002349 0.003364 0.005632 0.016326
2025-09-14 0.001179 0.001421 0.001762 0.002322 0.003356 0.005725 0.018093
2025-09-21 0.001151 0.001390 0.001727 0.002284 0.003321 0.005743 0.019417
2025-09-28 0.001130 0.001367 0.001704 0.002264 0.003321 0.005857 0.022031
2025-10-05 0.001090 0.001318 0.001639 0.002171 0.003167 0.005516 0.019360
2025-10-12 0.001073 0.001300 0.001623 0.002160 0.003180 0.005656 0.022351